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France · air and rail corridorsNation · Mobility

Even the details of a law change the outcome

A ban on short flights operates only on routes included in its conditions: train duration, frequencies and exceptions determine the capacity.

What the evidence tells us ↓
France · air and rail corridors. A general promise leaves almost all routes unchanged / Thresholds and alternatives are designed to really make a difference
A general promise leaves almost all routes unchangedThresholds and alternatives are designed to really make a difference

Illustrated comparison inspired by the place and case. Conceptual scenes, not a photographic before and after.

A mechanism, not a numerical forecast

How the change works

  1. 01 / Public decision

    Rules defined for each individual route

  2. 02 / Physical change

    Only some flights are replaceable

  3. 03 / Possible outcome

    Limited benefit from real coverage

A ban on short flights operates only on routes included in its conditions: train duration, frequencies and exceptions determine the capacity.

Research and local documents ↓
Lesson from a model

What the evidence tells us

A 2024 study on the 2023 French measure estimates more modest climate benefits than the title of the measure might suggest.

Conditions and limits

It's a modeled assessment of a specific version of the policy, not an assessment of all possible prohibitions or current rules.

Other possible benefits

More transparent decisions on frequencies and alternatives.

Research and local documents

  1. Evidence for this findingTxapartegi et al. · Ecological Economics, 2024 ↗

    A 2024 study on the 2023 French measure estimates more modest climate benefits than the title of the measure might suggest.

  2. Local project or policy documentLégifrance · Decree No. 2023-385 of 22 May 2023 ↗

    Original text of the measure analyzed in the study; not a guide to current travel rules.

  3. Scientific basis of the mechanismIPCC AR6 WGIII · Chapter 10: Transport, 2022 ↗

    Scientific synthesis of the mechanism: active mobility, collective transport, efficiency and energy mix. It is not a causal assessment of the individual local project.

Evidence reviewed:

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