How the change works
- 01 / Public decision
Rules and personnel on the territory
- 02 / Physical change
Violations detected and stopped
- 03 / Possible outcome
Conserved forest and carbon
A forest rule protects trees when someone detects violations, intervenes and enforces sanctions.
Research and local documents ↓What the evidence tells us
The study by Gatti and colleagues links the increase in Amazonian emissions in 2019—2020 to more deforestation and fires, in the context of a weakening of controls. The PRODES monitoring measures forest clearing separately.
Putting the choices into practice
Inspections
The challengeReports without follow-up
The responseVerifiable inspections and sanctions
Indicator
The challengeOnly hectares cleared
The responseAlso fires and degradation
Duration
The challengeOccasional interventions
The responseContinuous monitoring
The diagram compares choices and conditions for putting them into practice. Measured outcomes and their limits are discussed in the evidence.
Research and local documents ↓Conditions and limits
The carbon balance also depends on droughts, fires and degradation. Not all of the change can be attributed to one government or to a single election.
Other possible benefits
Protection of habitats and communities that depend on the forest.
Research and local documents
- Local document and reported findingGatti et al., 2023 · Amazonian carbon balance ↗
Research on the case, mechanism, or measures discussed in the sheet.
- Local project or policy documentINPE · PRODES 2025 estimate ↗
Institutional documentation of the program, territory or rules mentioned.
