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China and exporting countries · plastic supply chainTerritory · Materials

Exporting waste doesn't make it go away

Exporting waste changes where it's managed, it doesn't make it go away. Shipping rules and processing capacity must proceed together.

What the evidence tells us ↓
China and exporting countries · plastic supply chain. The materials are shipped without following their destiny / Responsibility and traceability accompany the supply chain
The materials are shipped without following their destinyResponsibility and traceability accompany the supply chain
A mechanism, not a numerical forecast

How the change works

  1. 01 / Public decision

    Shipping liability

  2. 02 / Physical change

    Verified destinations

  3. 03 / Possible outcome

    Management along the supply chain

Exporting waste changes where it's managed, it doesn't make it go away. Shipping rules and processing capacity must proceed together.

Research and local documents ↓
Documented case

What the evidence tells us

Brooks and colleagues analyze the shock of the Chinese blockade on plastic imports. Amendments to the Basel Convention tighten the control of many shipments of plastic waste.

Qualitative comparison

Putting the choices into practice

Boundary

The challengeExport mistaken for a solution

The responseLiability up to treatment

Oversight

The challengeShipped weight only

The responseVerified plant and process

Prevention

The challengeLook for new outlets

The responseReduce problematic materials

The diagram compares choices and conditions for putting them into practice. Measured outcomes and their limits are discussed in the evidence.

Research and local documents ↓
Conditions and limits

The 111 million tons by 2030 are a projection of the study, not an observed total. Shifting exports doesn't prove better recycling.

Other possible benefits

Lower incentives to transfer damage elsewhere.

Research and local documents

  1. Local project or policy documentBasel Convention · Plastic Waste Amendments ↗

    Institutional documentation of the program, territory or rules mentioned.

  2. Evidence for this findingBrooks, Wang and Jambeck, 2018 · The Chinese import ban and its impact on global plastic waste trade ↗

    Analysis of trade flows and projection to 2030; the projection is not an observed total.

Evidence reviewed:

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