← The simple act of voting

Southwestern Atlantic · humpback whalesTerritory · Natura

Give the whales time to return

For long-lived animals, reducing collections and protecting habitats and routes means leaving time for reproduction to reconstitute populations.

What the evidence tells us ↓
Southwestern Atlantic · humpback whales. Hunting reduces a whale population / Protection leaves time for the population to grow
Hunting reduces a whale populationProtection leaves time for the population to grow
A mechanism, not a numerical forecast

How the change works

  1. 01 / Public decision

    Protection and cooperation

  2. 02 / Physical change

    Less avoidable mortality

  3. 03 / Possible outcome

    Recovery over a long time

For long-lived animals, reducing collections and protecting habitats and routes means leaving time for reproduction to reconstitute populations.

Research and local documents ↓
Documented case

What the evidence tells us

Zerbini and colleagues estimate in 2019 that humpback whales in the southwestern Atlantic reached about 93% of their pre-exploitation abundance, with a range of 73— 100%.

Documented case · Model published in 2019

A population on the road to recovery

A population on the road to recovery. Central estimate: 93 % of the historical reference; Share up to the reference: 7 % of the historical reference

93 % of the historical referenceCentral estimate

7 % of the historical referenceShare up to the reference

Southwestern Atlantic humpback whales. Modeled estimate: range 73— 100% of the level before exploitation.

Open the source ↗
Read values and method
Model published in 2019
IndicatorValue
Central estimate93 % of the historical reference
Share up to the reference7 % of the historical reference

Southwestern Atlantic humpback whales. Modeled estimate: range 73— 100% of the level before exploitation.

Qualitative comparison

Putting the choices into practice

Time

The challengeRepeated hunting

The responseDecades of Protection

Perimeter

The challengeAll whale populations lumped together

The responseAn identified population

Estimate

The challengeA number without uncertainty

The responseModel with an uncertainty interval

The diagram compares choices and conditions for putting them into practice. Measured outcomes and their limits are discussed in the evidence.

Research and local documents ↓
Conditions and limits

It's an estimate modeled for a population, not a census of all the whales. Collisions, networks, noise and environmental changes remain threats to be addressed.

Other possible benefits

Conservation of large marine species and responsible observation of fauna.

Research and local documents

  1. Local document and reported findingZerbini et al., 2019 · Assessing the recovery of an Antarctic predator from historical exploitation ↗

    Research on the case, mechanism, or measures discussed in the sheet.

  2. Local project or policy documentInternational Whaling Commission · Commercial Hunting Moratorium ↗

    1982 decision, fully effective since 1986. The international framework and the recovery of the individual population are separate information.

Evidence reviewed:

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